China'S Big Boss Has Hundreds Of Thousands Of New Stocks Into Stock, And Shengze Boss'S Daily Volume Has Shrunk By 3.

Since the spread of the epidemic around the world, everyone is worried that the textile market that is in the "hot water" situation will continue to be difficult to buy orders, resulting in market panic.

It never occurred to me that the collapse of crude oil and the melting of American stocks. Black Monday witnessed the spectacular diving of mass textile products.

On the one hand, the epidemic is not yet over; on the other hand, it is a raw material.

Imagine that if we did not encounter this outbreak, the raw materials might be strong. In March of 2020, it should be the busiest season in the textile industry, but everything is just a fantasy. The impact of this epidemic on the industry still needs a while to recover.

Unprecedented challenges in the war epidemic

The textile people who have experienced this war are expected to be unforgettable about this experience.

In late February, Keqiao light textile city and Shengze Oriental silk market were opened. On the 9 day, the Guangzhou light textile trading garden resumed business and extended for 1 months compared with previous years.

Even so, the textile people who had experienced the "epidemic" of the war were still very sad about the experience. "The impact of this year's epidemic on the textile industry is too great to exceed the impact of Sino US trade." A textile boss Chen said.

Indeed, because the epidemic has disrupted the rhythm of the whole industry, it has also led to greater challenges for textile bosses.

01. To make orders before the year, the bottleneck of capacity is highlighted.

Before the annual holiday, many textile owners will leave orders after the start of the year. On the one hand, because of the homesickness of workers who dyed their factories before years, the quality of orders will be discounted. On the other hand, they will also work hard after the start of the year, and relax their minds. But this year, affected by the epidemic, the factories will be stagnant, and some orders for rush delivery will be cancelled. Even if it has not been cancelled, the textile boss will rush to make delivery after resuming work.

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"Before the factory has been unable to start because of the lack of workers, anxious to death, only 1/4 years ago, a large single order, and then can only increase wages to recruit people, the machine first opened up, afraid that the delivery can not be scheduled, affecting the back of the order." A textile mill boss said.

In addition to production capacity problems encountered, the printing and dyeing terminal is also the same. Ma, who has been doing business in Wujiang for more than ten years, said that the gap period was 2 months before and after the Spring Festival, which led to backlog of orders. There is also a dyeing factory operator said last week dye cylinder opened only about 5 percent, resulting in an extension of the delivery period than the same period.

02. Spring clothes lost their opportunities, and summer fabrics were hard to break through.

A sudden outbreak of the epidemic caused the beauty lovers to spend the Spring Festival with a winter coat, which also led to the sale of new spring clothes.

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According to a stall owner who opened a shop in Guangzhou, "most stalls will complete the renewal or rent payment before the Spring Festival. According to the work of August 1, they will be able to earn money from the major online stores. Hundreds of thousands of spring products have been hoarding before the Spring Festival this year. If they do not return to work, they will be in stock after the season, and the losses will be very serious.

The boss of clothing stalls has lost confidence in spring clothes, and the goods on hand are hard to get rid of directly, and it also inhibits the purchase of fabrics. It is understood that the recent Wujiang simulation silk products to run smoothly, most of this summer or autumn orders, spring orders are few, the market burst fabric compared to the same period last year also decreased, the overall sales of elastic fabrics are poor, resulting in a general market atmosphere.

According to a trader, the price of imitation silk has been rising steadily after the start of this year, and it can walk about 20 thousand meters per day, but compared with the daily volume of 4-6 million meters last year, March is not very prosperous this year.

Will the two quarter be a retaliatory rebound or a slow recovery?

Although the finished product inventory of the major manufacturers has declined, it is largely due to the slow recovery of capacity, leading to better inventory performance. According to the monitoring data of Chinese silk net sample enterprises, the inventory of grey goods in Shengze has dropped to 38 days from 40 days before the start of operation, and the speed is not as good as that of the same period in previous years. Compared with the same period last year, the inventory has increased by about 3 days. But in the near future, inventory began to slow down.

In terms of operating rate, the operating rate in Shengze has been restored to about 7-8 per cent, and the Haining area is slightly higher than about 8%, while the Changxin area has returned to 6-7. The market start-up has been on the rise recently. It is expected that the market will resume to the same level in the last ten days of March.

On the one hand, the inventory process is slow. On the other hand, the weaving machine is still on the rise. If the demand of the industry can not recover well, the market will easily enter the overcapacity stage again. Recently, more and more people in the industry have begun to wonder whether the textile industry will take a retaliatory rebound in the two quarter or will embark on a road of slow recovery.

In fact, many textile owners in the process of communication with Xiaobian said that the textile industry in the first half of this year is not particularly optimistic. "The epidemic is not yet fully recovered. In the first half of 3-5, it is the traditional peak season. Weaving mills and dyeing factories are busy. But this year's new single sense is not strong enough. The first half of the market resumed to the past."

Of course, there are still a few textile owners who are optimistic about the market outlook. A boss who made home textiles for more than ten years combined with the experience of SARS at that time, believed that after the epidemic, the market will have a recovery period. "The order cancelled now is not really cancelled, but postponed, the market order rhythm is disrupted, but it will still be fulfilled."